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Leontief Paradox of International Trade

The reasoning used by Leontief has a logical error in the logic that it is an application of a two-factor model to a multi-factor circumstance. It also ignores the fact that some trade-items are severe in usual resources. In 1949, Leontief used an early computer at Harvard and data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics to divide the U.S. economy into 500 sectors.

Leontief made use of 1947 input-output tables related to the U.S. economy. 200 groups of industries were consolidated into 50 sectors, of which 38 traded their products directly on the international market. This can be viewed more generally as “money” to include human capital. Using this term, exports from the United States are very (human) capital-intensive and not especially labor-intensive. By common consent the United States is the only country that is most abundantly endowed with capital. Therefore, one would expected the United States to export capital intensive goods and import labour intensive goods.

The value of output derived from a given stock of materials and human resources increases on account of research and development activity. Even casual observation demonstrates that the U.S. exports are research and development sensitive. Leontief had found greater capital-intensity in the U.S. import- substitution industries than in export industries because he did not include the investment in human capital.

Wassily Leontief was a Nobel Prize-winning Russian-American economist and professor who contributed several insightful theories to economics. Leontief’s Nobel Prize research focused on input-output analysis, which breaks down the sectors of the economy and discusses how changes in one sector can affect other sectors. A 1957 study concluded by Houthakker about the consumption patterns in many counties showed that the income elasticity of demand for food, clothing, housing and several other goods was strikingly similar across nation. Consequently, the explanation of Leontief paradox in terms of taste differences cannot be accepted.

Leontief’s paradox resulted from a comprehensive econometric analysis of US exports. Contrary to expectations and assumptions, the US, a labor-scarce and capital-abundant nation, was exporting labor-intensive goods. The Leontief paradox is the idea that countries with a large amount of capital import capital-intensive products and export labor-intensive products. This contradicts what could be expected before the paradox was revealed.

A 1954 study made by Kravis showed that the labour-intensive industries were most heavily protected in the United States. That perhaps reduced the labour-intensity of U.S. import substitutes. Similarly the LDC’s may be compelled to permit duty-free import of agricultural products or other labour-intensive products from the United States in order to tide over their domestic shortages.

  1. Using this term, exports from the United States are very (human) capital-intensive and not especially labor-intensive.
  2. Re-estimation of factor-intensity of the US exports and imports by incorporating one or more of the additional factors has been found to yield varying results, from underneath Leontief Paradox to contradicting it or weakening it.
  3. Firstly, these countries depend greatly on the technology imported from the advanced countries, as they do not themselves have an indigenous technology suited to their own factor endowments.
  4. This seemed to conflict sharply with the presupposition that the US was abundant in capital compared with labour.
  5. Accordingly, the Heckscher-Ohlin theory predicts that Luxembourg will export capital-intensive products to India and import labour-intensive products in return.

The capital-abundant country United States, on the basis of the above logic, may import capital-intensive goods from abroad, if its income level rises and if the income elasticity of demand for such goods in that country is high. Similarly, a labour-abundant country may export capital-intensive goods, if the income elasticity of demand for such goods is high in that country. There can be certain reasons for greater capital-intensity of exports by India and some other LDC’s to the United States. Firstly, these countries depend greatly on the technology imported from the advanced countries, as they do not themselves have an indigenous technology suited to their own factor endowments. Over the decades, many economists have used theories and data to explain and minimize the impact of paradox.

What is Leontief Paradox Trade Theory

Salvatore pointed out that the higher labour productivity in the United States than in other countries implies a higher productivity of capital also in that country relative to the other countries. So both U.S. labour and capital should be multiplied by the same multiple 3. But that will leave the relative capital-abundance of the United States as unaffected.

Leontief Paradox Example

Thus, the Heckscher–Ohlin Theorem (H–O)  predicts that the US exports would have required more capital per worker than US imports. Re-estimation of factor-intensity of the US exports and imports by incorporating one or more of the additional factors has been found to yield varying results, from underneath Leontief Paradox to contradicting it or weakening it. Leontief recognized that allowing for only labor and capital as inputs of a nation is impractical and therefore he highlighted a country’s endowment of natural resources as a critical component in production. However, what remains clear is that international trade is complex and is impacted by numerous and often-changing factors. Trade cannot be explained neatly by one single theory, and more importantly, our understanding of international trade theories continues to evolve.

Understanding Wassily Leontief

Theory of comparative advantage should perhaps not primarily be viewed as geared toward empirical testing. They are first and foremost means of studying the general equilibrium characteristics what is leontief paradox of open economies. Swirling pointed out that the Leontief paradox involved a bias because of inclusion of certain industries in case of which capital-labour ratio was low.

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In his analysis, Leontief took only one country into account only computed factor requirements for marginal changes in the production of American exports and import competing goods. If factor reversals exist, it is fully possible for a capital rich country to export its labour intensive goods. The country will still use more capital intensive methods in its export industries than any other country.

The study made by Stern and Maskus in 1981 for the year 1972 confirmed the H- O theory even when natural resource industries were excluded. According to the factor proportions theory, the United States should have been importing labor-intensive goods, but instead, it was actually exporting them. His analysis became known as the Leontief Paradox because it was the reverse of what was expected by the factor proportions theory. This econometric find was the result of Wassily W. Leontief’s attempt to test the Heckscher–Ohlin theory (“H–O theory”) empirically.

A widely discussed study by Minhas recognised the validity of factor-intensity reversal but the studies made by Leontief himself in 1964 and Moroney found it to be quantitatively insignificant. It is found insufficient to reject strong factor intensity hypothesis of the H-O theory or justify Leontief’s paradox. Leontief https://1investing.in/ was also a very strong proponent of the use of quantitative data in the study of economics. Throughout his life Leontief campaigned against « theoretical assumptions and non-observed facts ».[20] According to Leontief, too many economists were reluctant to « get their hands dirty » by working with raw empirical facts.

Trade model, we have been able to get a good understanding of the meaning of general equilibrium. We have seen how the possibility of trade causes a change in commodity prices, giving rise to a change in factor prices, to a reallocation of factors of production, and a change in the production structure. All these variables are intimately linked together and it is not possible to change one of them without changing all the others. One area in which Leontief pursued his goal of making economic analysis more quantitative was in developing an empirical implementation of general equilibrium theory. To do this, Leontief broke down the U.S. economy into 500 sectors, establishing one of the first economic sector classification systems.

Rather than one country dominating the industry with a comparative advantage, both countries trade different brands of cars between them. Similarly, new trade theory argues that comparative advantages can develop separately from factor endowment variation (e.g., in industrial increasing returns to scale). Vernon found that the U.S. export performance is closely related to the investment in research and development. Leontief arrived at a conclusion which is in contradiction to the H-O theory also because he over-looked the effect of research and development expenditure on the trade pattern.

Another explanation for which Leontief has shown a certain understanding is connected with the two factor framework and the broad use of the term capital. The only two factors explicitly taken into account are labour and capital. Leontief himself explained the contradiction by reference to measures of labour supply. Even working with the same amount of capital, the U.S. worker is more efficient than his foreign counterpart. Wassily Leontief was born in Germany in 1906 and died in New York City in 1999 at the age of 93. As an economist, he made several contributions to the science of economics.

The higher productivity of the American labour was attributed by him to better organization and entrepreneurship in the United States than in other countries. As the over-pricing of labour and underpricing of capital cause factor-price distortion, there is likelihood that the labour-surplus and capital-scarce countries like India export capital-intensive goods and import labour-intensive goods. As a result, the exported goods have a relatively high capital- labour ratio. Secondly, India relied heavily on the imports of food grains and many other consumer products from the United States until 1970’s. That accounted for high labour-intensity of her imports from the United States. Thirdly, there is a substantial direct foreign investment by MNC’s owned by the United States and the European countries in India and other LDC’s.